Week One: A Geographically Polarized Country?
Download Lecture 1 via iTunesU
Welcome to the Geography of U.S. Presidential Elections. In this forum, we will discuss any aspect of electoral geography that you find interesting or pertinent. I have found from teaching several courses for Stanford Continuing Studies that members of the class often know more about particular topics than I do, and I am sure that the same is true for the global audience of iTunes U. Please join the discussion so that we can all learn from each other.
The overriding issue of contemporary American electoral geography is that of polarization. Is the United States a land of deep and almost unbridgeable political divisions that are closely linked to specific parts of the country, or is it predominantly a nation of political centrists, with most regions containing balanced populations of moderates, liberals, and conservatives? Good arguments can be made for both positions – and for the notion that the situation is too complex to be described in such terms.
A more specific question concerns Andrew Gelman’s finding that wealthy states tend to vote for the Democratic Party whereas wealthy people tend to vote for the Republican Party. As we saw in lecture, some evidence suggests that this basic pattern holds for California as well, where wealthy counties voted for John Kerry and poor counties voted for George W. Bush. But how general is the tendency? Would we find the same pattern replicated at a more local scale of analysis, such as that of Santa Clara County, California?
These are just a few of the questions we might entertain in this discussion forum; anything that links geography with voting behavior is fair game. I look forward to your comments.
Many thanks,
Martin W. Lewis

