Stanford University

Final Lecture

Download Lecture 5 via Tunes U in high resolution or, watch the YouTube version below.

This morning the New York Times came out with a far bolder take-home message about the geographical implication of the 2008 election than I did last night in class.  As the Times headline puts it: “For South,  A Waning Hold on National Politics.”  According to this interpretation, much of the Southern White population, which had been a dominant group in the Republican Party, has now placed itself outside of the mainstream of American presidential politics, and, as a result, the influence of the South will decline.  The article also differentiates the new “suburban South,” which is trending blue, from the interior South, which is not.

Does this seem like a reasonable interpretation, or is it perhaps premature?

David Brooks’ op-ed column in the NY Times today is also worth reading.  He predicts that the Republican party will become more conservative in the short-term, but further contends that such a retrenchment will hurt the party, forcing it eventually to reorient its political stance.  Does this interpretation seem reasonable?

Discussion, Week Four

Download Lecture 4 via Tunes U in high resolution or, watch theYouTube version below.

One of the biggest current issues in electoral geography concerns the voting patterns of affluent suburban counties.  I find it quite striking that the suburbs of Minneapolis vote more like the suburbs of Atlanta than the suburbs of San Francisco.  The fact that Minnesota has a high level of religious affiliation is no doubt part of the explanation.  But why then do affluent suburban counties in New Jersey tend to vote Republican (at least as of the 2004 presidential election), while those in northern California have voted Democratic since 1988.  Any ideas?

You might want to check out an interesting political-cultural map from the Christian Science Monitor:  http://www.csmonitor.com/patchworknation/

I love the idea of this map, but I don’t think that they have done a very good of classifying counties, particularly those of the Bay Area.  Any reactions?